96%. Why unhappy Democrats can't primary Obama View another article
 
George Soros is unhappy :(.

You see, all of his liberal/progressive/leftist causes are being thwarted by Evil Americans who are too dumb to know that radical socialism and prison-like government control is really good for them. They elected Republicans en masse, and now Obama has no hope of any leftist agenda the next 2 years.

So he is pouting to big donors that they shouldn't support Obama financially. $ is a key factor in Obama winning the Presidency: he could afford to get his message out, hire workers in his campaign, etc. Money in a campaign is also a self-fulfilling prophecy: more $ looks like a winning candidate, less $ looks like a loser.

Other Democrats think Obama shouldn't run in 2012 as well.

So will someone else, a fearless Democrat, point out that Emperor Obama has no clothes and face him in a primary in 2012? Someone might, a true believer who doesn't think Obama is leftist enough (rolling eyes). But what number are Democratic-insiders most afraid of?

96%.

What number is that? That's the % of the Black vote Barack Obama got in 2008.

Even if you don't know much about math, 96% is a pretty good number. That's a solid "A" where a passing grade is 50.1%.

The problem for another candidate is that they will be opposing Obama. In many districts, and many states, the majority Black vote was the DECIDING FACTOR. The large turnout coupled with the overwhelming % turned the tide for many races to Obama.

Even if Obama wins a primary battle, I'm guessing many Blacks will feel soured on a Democratic Party that challenged Obama and never really gave him a chance. And if Obama loses, I'm guessing they will doubly betrayed.

Will black voters vote overwhelmingly Democrat? History says so. But what if in a brutal primary Obama loses, and Democrats get just 85% of the black vote? Or 20% less decide to vote? Some might be turned of from politics completely. Top Democrats must be privately worried about that for 2012, as well as elections beyond.

So as Soros and other Democrats navel-gaze, other Democrats must be licking their chops to pull a Ted Kennedy and challenge Obama.

But is that 96% just too big a prize to risk?
Topic How this article applies
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